Archive for September, 2007

Stupid Surveys, Obsessed with Being Online?

Thursday, September 20th, 2007

ITNews published results from a survey which indicates that out of 1,011 American adults, 15% of people said that they could only go a day or less without going online. 21% said a couple of days. 19% said a few days. Only 20% said they could go longer than week.

These were results from an online survey held between Sept 7 – 11th (over a weekend).

How did this get published? They surveyed people online to see if they were obsessed with being online? Obviously, there’s a natural bias. Ask 1000 people who live in a cave how long they can go without going online, and see what results you get.

Regarding the T-Mobile iPhone Ad Flyer

Sunday, September 9th, 2007

The latest unsubstantiated Apple rumor is making its way through the web. This time in the form of a T-Mobile flyer which claims the iPhone will be released on November 12th with 3G networking and a 16GB option.

The ad was first published by MacBidouille with the lead in that “an anonymous reader sent us this image”.

That’s red flag #1.

We also received this image at MacRumors before it was published. The anonymous submission linked to a rapidshare file sharing link with no backstory. Just a link to an image that purportedly depicts an ad from T-Mobile.

What’s the likelihood that this is legitimate? Almost zero, I’d guess.

I’m not one to try to pick apart the technicalities of the ad – why this word or that word wasn’t translated correctly. Instead, just looking at the scenario points to the fact that anonymous uncorroborated submissions that are sent to a number of sites simultaneously are rarely true. Instead, they typically represent someone trying to get some attention.

Anonymous uncorroborated submissions with links to an image have an even worse track record.

Update: With the release of the UK iPhone with EDGE and 8GB, this rumor has essentially been proven wrong. Apple’s unlikely to release a 16GB/3G iPhone in Germany only.

Steve Jobs’ Open Letter and Why Rumor Sites Exist

Friday, September 7th, 2007

Steve Jobs wrote an open letter to iPhone users about the dramatic price drop on the iPhone ($200) announced on Wednesday.

Second, being in technology for 30+ years I can attest to the fact that the technology road is bumpy. There is always change and improvement, and there is always someone who bought a product before a particular cutoff date and misses the new price or the new operating system or the new whatever. This is life in the technology lane. If you always wait for the next price cut or to buy the new improved model, you’ll never buy any technology product because there is always something better and less expensive on the horizon.

What’s interesting is that for a large part of it, this is why rumor sites exist. Sure, part of it is a natural voyeuristic desire to see things you aren’t supposed to… but from a practical standpoint, if you’re an Apple customer it makes financial sense to pay attention to what’s coming down the pipe.

This is true from an individual standpoint as well as a company standpoint. No one wants to buy at the end of a product cycle. People want to get most value for their money.

The biggest problem with the iPhone price drop is that no one saw it coming. You don’t see anyone complaining that they just bought an iPod Nano or regular iPod a week ago and now Apple’s cut the prices on them. That’s because anyone who has been paying attention knew that new iPods were coming. Whether based on the rumors or the natural product cycle — iPods were due for an update.

What’s interesting to me is that the iPhone price drop may actually have been better received if the rumor sites had had knowledge of it. If rumors had been swirling for weeks that Apple was going to provide major price cuts to the iPhone, would there have been such an outcry?

This is also the reason that the Buyers Guide exists on MacRumors. Tracking historical refresh rates provides the best way to predict when a new product is coming.

Apple Finally Releases a PDA

Thursday, September 6th, 2007

It may have been lost on some, but Apple’s release of the iPod Touch brings a close to one of the longest running rumors in Apple’s history… the return of Newton.

Oh, we knew it was coming when they released the iPhone… but the iPod Touch is essentially Apple’s return to the PDA market and effectively ends future Apple PDA rumors.

iPod Touch is based on Apple’s new Touch OS X platform which we first saw with the iPhone. It’s OS X at its core, driven by a multi-touch screen. I think its inevitable that an official SDK will be released. I am excited to see where Apple takes this new platform.

Of course, this will only add fuel to the fire of Apple Tablet rumors….