Archive for the ‘MacRumors.com’ Category

Steve Jobs’ Open Letter and Why Rumor Sites Exist

Friday, September 7th, 2007

Steve Jobs wrote an open letter to iPhone users about the dramatic price drop on the iPhone ($200) announced on Wednesday.

Second, being in technology for 30+ years I can attest to the fact that the technology road is bumpy. There is always change and improvement, and there is always someone who bought a product before a particular cutoff date and misses the new price or the new operating system or the new whatever. This is life in the technology lane. If you always wait for the next price cut or to buy the new improved model, you’ll never buy any technology product because there is always something better and less expensive on the horizon.

What’s interesting is that for a large part of it, this is why rumor sites exist. Sure, part of it is a natural voyeuristic desire to see things you aren’t supposed to… but from a practical standpoint, if you’re an Apple customer it makes financial sense to pay attention to what’s coming down the pipe.

This is true from an individual standpoint as well as a company standpoint. No one wants to buy at the end of a product cycle. People want to get most value for their money.

The biggest problem with the iPhone price drop is that no one saw it coming. You don’t see anyone complaining that they just bought an iPod Nano or regular iPod a week ago and now Apple’s cut the prices on them. That’s because anyone who has been paying attention knew that new iPods were coming. Whether based on the rumors or the natural product cycle — iPods were due for an update.

What’s interesting to me is that the iPhone price drop may actually have been better received if the rumor sites had had knowledge of it. If rumors had been swirling for weeks that Apple was going to provide major price cuts to the iPhone, would there have been such an outcry?

This is also the reason that the Buyers Guide exists on MacRumors. Tracking historical refresh rates provides the best way to predict when a new product is coming.

Fake or Real? Can People Tell? No.

Wednesday, September 5th, 2007

In July, there was a leak of what was purported to be the upcoming iPod user interface. Today, Apple released the new iPod Nano and iPod Classic with the new user interface that was leaked.

How did people do in analyzing the videos? Well, it just goes to show that despite people claiming to be confident… most people can’t tell.
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Keyboard Real. iPod UI?

Wednesday, August 8th, 2007

I was wrong. Or, I guess, my conclusion was wrong in Final Verdict: Keyboard Fake. iPod UI Real.

The prototype keyboard photos that were posted to Chinese forum were real.

It really is a significant event that will make the rumor-mill a bit more exciting. For the first time, Apple has let photos of a pre-release product be widely distributed, and not take any efforts to suppress their distribution. Good or bad, this is going to make future “spy shots” harder to assess.

Whether or not the iPod UI will be a shipping product remains to be seen, but I think we’ll see the iPod UI shortly.

Newsflash: People Make Up Rumors

Sunday, August 5th, 2007

Gizmodo posted and then retracted a rumor that they posted from someone who emailed them and purported to be from a Google Product Marketing Manager.

Engadget goes on to “debunk” this rumor, making a big deal about it.

Gizmodo even goes so far as to say that this is the reason why you should “Never ever trust rumors.” I’ll counter and say, this is why you should never ever trust rumors from sites that don’t regularly deal in Apple rumors. Now I think Gizmodo and Engadget do a great job in general, but they’ve never been a reliable source of original Apple rumors.

It’s no shock to me that someone submitted fake rumors to a popular gadget site. Submitting fake Apple rumors has been a long time sport. MacRumors gets fake submissions on a daily basis. If we posted every submission that sounded at all plausible, we would lose a lot of respect from our regulars.